Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.225448 250.131972 281.151333 318.363282 362.022295 411.902779 473.606517
2024-10-20 179.201890 215.479107 259.383374 317.123466 392.103524 487.655331 621.081372
2024-10-27 149.473065 187.135501 235.187200 302.213019 395.299421 523.163052 717.902596
2024-11-03 138.208154 179.240712 234.091324 314.781626 434.046252 610.017746 902.031352
2024-11-10 130.544714 174.546978 235.815300 330.329914 478.204110 711.537626 1132.364916
2024-11-17 119.999136 164.319456 228.047004 330.173251 497.571546 777.003200 1318.600019
2024-11-24 109.019907 152.169536 215.846786 321.128749 500.524044 814.651666 1462.998285
2024-12-01 99.970403 141.930683 205.307268 313.093272 503.407887 851.876685 1615.691789
2024-12-08 95.873490 138.741750 205.213398 321.979747 536.856878 951.671345 1929.899426
2024-12-15 90.751411 133.453552 201.152645 323.407715 556.600545 1028.316666 2217.141385
2024-12-22 84.848631 126.419540 193.536459 317.550721 561.333305 1074.554128 2445.393531
2024-12-29 80.733104 121.939075 189.745248 318.100151 578.662082 1151.479256 2783.572949
2025-01-05 75.321927 115.054726 181.477522 309.785274 577.440813 1188.165540 3030.051499
2025-01-12 71.540857 110.649082 177.184802 308.659121 591.510703 1265.134409 3437.432850
2025-01-19 66.127347 103.094825 166.701057 294.244799 574.225182 1260.180789 3574.818220
2025-01-26 65.013450 102.860400 169.353779 306.393941 618.894067 1427.325816 4410.012685
2025-02-02 64.309574 103.271609 173.192675 321.417243 673.115776 1637.250638 5563.275914
2025-02-09 61.717432 100.124765 170.065397 321.265902 690.200752 1744.541688 6363.920674
2025-02-16 58.303591 95.279624 163.324768 312.527543 684.096051 1779.153398 6850.829701
2025-02-23 55.261728 90.946286 157.284652 304.762195 679.448572 1817.874459 7395.124736
2025-03-02 54.246428 90.297583 158.431075 313.349830 720.153223 2021.010525 9043.615158
2025-03-09 52.524571 88.215822 156.550337 314.729577 741.252177 2163.359678 10497.210856
2025-03-16 50.208586 84.878209 151.891123 309.070016 741.334634 2228.723740 11517.953813